Arsenal Tula 1-0 SKA Khabarovsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.4
No
61%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-10.1pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
38%
+1.4pp
61%
BTTS No
62%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Tula EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY SKA Khabarovsk EU Bookmakers 18%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -24%
1.08/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.39/1.86
-35% / +105% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / -17%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Tula
5W-1D-0L
AWAY SKA Khabarovsk
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
358 Passes 342
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 8
14 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-0 HT 1-0 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS1
14.10.2023 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 1-1 HT 0-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
17.07.2022 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 3-2 HT 2-2 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS1
05.11.2017 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 1-2 HT 1-1 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS
24.07.2017 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-0 HT 1-0 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS
20.09.2015 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-0 HT 0-0 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal Tula
1-0
AWAY SKA Khabarovsk
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arsenal Tula vs SKA Khabarovsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Tula edged past SKA Khabarovsk 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arsenal Tula as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Arsenal Tula had 61% of the ball to SKA Khabarovsk's 39%, shots finished 15-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal Tula had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Arsenal Tula and 0.67 for SKA Khabarovsk.

What was the final score of Arsenal Tula vs SKA Khabarovsk?

Arsenal Tula 1-0 SKA Khabarovsk in the Russia - FNL on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Tula vs SKA Khabarovsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal Tula win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Tula 50%, draw 29%, SKA Khabarovsk 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal Tula), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal Tula) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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