Ural 3-1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.61
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
58%
-10.8pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.7pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.5pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ural EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Alaniya Vladikavkaz EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.33/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.93
-20% / +125% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +70%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
342 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ural
3-1
AWAY Alaniya Vladikavkaz
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ural vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ural saw off Alaniya Vladikavkaz 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ural as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ural had 61% of the ball to Alaniya Vladikavkaz's 39%, shots finished 11-7.

What was the final score of Ural vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz?

Ural 3-1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz in the Russia - FNL on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ural vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ural win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ural 47%, draw 30%, Alaniya Vladikavkaz 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ural) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ural) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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