Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 1-2 Baltika Kaliningrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 31 Aug 2024

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
1-2 HT 0-1
Baltika Kaliningrad
📅31/08/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Russia - FNL – 2024/2025

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Baltika Kaliningrad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.5pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.8pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk v Baltika Kaliningrad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -2%
1.51/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.86
+48% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
331 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Baltika Kaliningrad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.04.2023 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 1-1 HT 1-1 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS1
25.09.2022 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 3-2 HT 2-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
19.03.2022 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 1-2 HT 1-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
10.09.2021 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 1-0 HT 0-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS1
28.03.2021 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 1-2 HT 1-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS1
04.10.2020 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 1-0 HT 0-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 1-2 Baltika Kaliningrad — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
1-2
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Baltika Kaliningrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baltika Kaliningrad nicked a narrow win over Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 31% / 36%) promised a tight game; Baltika Kaliningrad found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk had 53% of the ball to Baltika Kaliningrad's 47%, shots finished 7-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Baltika Kaliningrad led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk and 1.33 for Baltika Kaliningrad.

What was the final score of Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 1-2 Baltika Kaliningrad in the Russia - FNL on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Baltika Kaliningrad win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 33%, draw 31%, Baltika Kaliningrad 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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