FK Ufa 0-1 Torpedo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+5.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.7pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.6pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Ufa EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Moscow EU Bookmakers 45%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
0.00/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.00
-100% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
295 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Ufa
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Torpedo Moscow
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
136 Passes 396
60% Pass Accuracy 83%
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.09.2023 FK Ufa FK Ufa 1-1 HT 0-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RKBL
08.12.2014 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 2-2 HT 1-2 FK Ufa FK Ufa RUS
20.10.2014 FK Ufa FK Ufa 1-1 HT 1-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Ufa
0-1
AWAY Torpedo Moscow
45% Ball Possession 55%
3 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FK Ufa vs Torpedo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Moscow nicked a narrow win over FK Ufa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Torpedo Moscow made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, FK Ufa had 45% of the ball to Torpedo Moscow's 55%, shots finished 3-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FK Ufa and 1.33 for Torpedo Moscow.

What was the final score of FK Ufa vs Torpedo Moscow?

FK Ufa 0-1 Torpedo Moscow in the Russia - FNL on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Ufa vs Torpedo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torpedo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FK Ufa 35%, draw 27%, Torpedo Moscow 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torpedo Moscow), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Torpedo Moscow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS1 More Russia - FNL
31 Aug 2024
10:00 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Baltika Kaliningrad Analysis →
16:00 Ural vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz Analysis →
18:00 Arsenal Tula vs SKA Khabarovsk Analysis →