SKA Khabarovsk 1-0 Arsenal Tula — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.1pp
29%
Draw
32%
-2.9pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.3pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SKA Khabarovsk EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Tula EU Bookmakers 34%
+11% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.59/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.95
+55% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.0
Crosses 6.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SKA Khabarovsk
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Arsenal Tula
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
342 Passes 358
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
8 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2024 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-0 HT 0-0 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS1
14.04.2024 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-0 HT 1-0 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS1
14.10.2023 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 1-1 HT 0-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
17.07.2022 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 3-2 HT 2-2 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS1
05.11.2017 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 1-2 HT 1-1 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS
24.07.2017 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-0 HT 1-0 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SKA Khabarovsk
1-0
AWAY Arsenal Tula
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH SKA Khabarovsk vs Arsenal Tula
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SKA Khabarovsk edged past Arsenal Tula 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day SKA Khabarovsk made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, SKA Khabarovsk had 46% of the ball to Arsenal Tula's 54%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal Tula led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for SKA Khabarovsk and 1.50 for Arsenal Tula.

What was the final score of SKA Khabarovsk vs Arsenal Tula?

SKA Khabarovsk 1-0 Arsenal Tula in the Russia - FNL on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SKA Khabarovsk vs Arsenal Tula?

Before kick-off our model rated a SKA Khabarovsk win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split SKA Khabarovsk 36%, draw 29%, Arsenal Tula 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SKA Khabarovsk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SKA Khabarovsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS1 More Russia - FNL
13 Apr 2025
13:00 Sokol Saratov vs FK Rodina Moskva Analysis →
15:00 Chernomorets vs Rotor Volgograd Analysis →
17:00 KAMAZ vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Analysis →
18:00 Baltika Kaliningrad vs FC Sochi Analysis →