Chernomorets 1-1 Rotor Volgograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.4
No
63%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
38%
-0.0pp
63%
BTTS No
62%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Rotor Volgograd EU Bookmakers 23%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.54/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.09
+9% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +19%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
281 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chernomorets
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Rotor Volgograd
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.09.2024 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd 1-2 HT 1-1 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
26.06.2017 Chernomorets Chernomorets 1-1 HT 0-1 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd HAZ
POST-MATCH Chernomorets vs Rotor Volgograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chernomorets and Rotor Volgograd couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Chernomorets at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chernomorets had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chernomorets and 1.00 for Rotor Volgograd.

What was the final score of Chernomorets vs Rotor Volgograd?

Chernomorets 1-1 Rotor Volgograd in the Russia - FNL on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chernomorets vs Rotor Volgograd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chernomorets win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Chernomorets 46%, draw 27%, Rotor Volgograd 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chernomorets), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chernomorets) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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