Baltika Kaliningrad 2-0 FC Sochi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.5pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.4pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Sochi EU Bookmakers 30%
+13% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.36/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.42
+8% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -17%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
361 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad
1W-2D-1L
AWAY FC Sochi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.12 xG 1.08
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
281 Passes 340
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2024 FC Sochi FC Sochi 1-1 HT 1-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS1
03.03.2024 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
23.07.2023 FC Sochi FC Sochi 2-0 HT 1-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS
21.10.2017 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 3-2 HT 2-1 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS1
POST-MATCH Baltika Kaliningrad vs FC Sochi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baltika Kaliningrad saw off FC Sochi 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Baltika Kaliningrad as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Baltika Kaliningrad and 1.25 for FC Sochi.

What was the final score of Baltika Kaliningrad vs FC Sochi?

Baltika Kaliningrad 2-0 FC Sochi in the Russia - FNL on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baltika Kaliningrad vs FC Sochi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baltika Kaliningrad win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Baltika Kaliningrad 45%, draw 30%, FC Sochi 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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