Eastern 2-3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 3 Oct 2024

📅03/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
12.23
Draw
22%
7.13
Away
54%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
4.0
Over 2.5
65%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
9.95
2-3 Goals
40%
2.54
4-5 Goals
35%
2.32
6+ Goals
10%
3.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
5%
+18.8pp
22%
Draw
10%
+12.0pp
54%
Away Win
84%
-30.9pp
35%
Under 2.5
22%
+13.5pp
65%
Over 2.5
78%
-13.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.3pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastern EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 90%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 10
178 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 509 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastern
2-3
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
30% Ball Possession 70%
3 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eastern vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima edged past Eastern 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Eastern had 30% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 70%, shots finished 3-14.

What was the final score of Eastern vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Eastern 2-3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the AFCŞL2 on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastern vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Eastern 24%, draw 22%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 54%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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