Kaya 1-4 Sydney — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 3 Oct 2024

Kaya
1-4 HT 1-1
Sydney
📅03/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-4 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
12.23
Draw
19%
7.78
Away
56%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.94
Over 2.5
65%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
9.48
2-3 Goals
36%
2.48
4-5 Goals
35%
2.33
6+ Goals
13%
3.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
33%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
5%
+19.6pp
19%
Draw
10%
+9.7pp
56%
Away Win
85%
-29.3pp
35%
Under 2.5
22%
+13.6pp
65%
Over 2.5
78%
-13.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaya EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney EU Bookmakers 90%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
213 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 505 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaya
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sydney
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
0.49 xG 4.14
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 24
1 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 11
184 Passes 489
67% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 55
9 Crosses 33
1 Yellow Cards 0
08.03.2022 Sydney Sydney 5-0 HT 1-0 Kaya Kaya AŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kaya
1-4
AWAY Sydney
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Kaya vs Sydney
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney swept aside Kaya 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sydney as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%) came in.

On the day, Kaya had 40% of the ball to Sydney's 60%, shots finished 10-20.

What was the final score of Kaya vs Sydney?

Kaya 1-4 Sydney in the AFCŞL2 on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaya vs Sydney?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sydney win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Kaya 25%, draw 19%, Sydney 56%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sydney), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sydney) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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