Jeonbuk Motors 4-1 Muang Thong United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 3 Oct 2024

📅03/10/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.33
Over 2.5
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.83
2-3 Goals
46%
1.93
4-5 Goals
22%
2.8
6+ Goals
9%
7.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
69%
-15.0pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.3pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+10.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-8.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.3pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeonbuk Motors EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Muang Thong United EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
460 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeonbuk Motors
4-1
AWAY Muang Thong United
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Jeonbuk Motors vs Muang Thong United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeonbuk Motors cruised past Muang Thong United 4-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jeonbuk Motors as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jeonbuk Motors had 55% of the ball to Muang Thong United's 45%, shots finished 13-16.

What was the final score of Jeonbuk Motors vs Muang Thong United?

Jeonbuk Motors 4-1 Muang Thong United in the AFCŞL2 on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeonbuk Motors vs Muang Thong United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jeonbuk Motors win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Jeonbuk Motors 54%, draw 23%, Muang Thong United 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jeonbuk Motors), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jeonbuk Motors) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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