Atletico Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Mineiro v Vasco da Gama — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Atletico Mineiro
BR1
1-2
HT 1-2
Vasco da Gama
BR1
3-2
HT 2-0
Atletico Mineiro
BR1
4-1
HT 4-1
Vasco da Gama
BR1
1-2
HT 0-0
Vasco da Gama
BR1
Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Vasco da Gama — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Mineiro squeezed past Vasco da Gama 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Mineiro as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Atletico Mineiro had 62% of the ball to Vasco da Gama's 38%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.26 to 0.57.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vasco da Gama led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Atletico Mineiro and 1.50 for Vasco da Gama.
What was the final score of Atletico Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama?
Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Cup on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Atletico Mineiro 55%, draw 26%, Vasco da Gama 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Mineiro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.