Flamengo vs Corinthians Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Flamengo v Corinthians — Team-Based Signals
Flamengo vs Corinthians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Flamengo
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Corinthians
BR1
1-2
HT 0-1
Corinthians
BR1
1-1
HT 1-0
Corinthians
BRK
Flamengo 1-0 Corinthians — Actual Match Statistics
Flamengo nicked a narrow win over Corinthians 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Flamengo had 56% of the ball to Corinthians's 44%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 2.00 to 0.67 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Flamengo's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Flamengo and 1.00 for Corinthians.
What was the final score of Flamengo vs Corinthians?
Flamengo 1-0 Corinthians in the Brazil - Cup on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Corinthians?
Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 50%, draw 29%, Corinthians 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.