Aguila 0-0 Real Esteli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF - Central Amerika Cup, 3 Oct 2024

📅03/10/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
1.71
Over
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No Pick
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
39%
4-5
23%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-4.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.9pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguila EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
391 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
Crosses 13.5
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Real Esteli
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 6
26.09.2024 Real Esteli Real Esteli 2-1 HT 2-1 Aguila Aguila CONOAK
09.08.2017 Real Esteli Real Esteli 1-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila CONL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aguila
0-0
AWAY Real Esteli
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Aguila vs Real Esteli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila and Real Esteli played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Aguila at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Aguila had 50% of the ball to Real Esteli's 50%, shots finished 0-0.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Real Esteli led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Aguila and 1.50 for Real Esteli.

What was the final score of Aguila vs Real Esteli?

Aguila 0-0 Real Esteli in the CONCACAF - Central Amerika Cup on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguila vs Real Esteli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Aguila 48%, draw 25%, Real Esteli 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aguila) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aguila) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CONOAK More CONCACAF - Central Amerika Cup
3 Oct 2024
05:15 CS Herediano vs Motagua Analysis →