CS Herediano 0-0 Motagua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF - Central Amerika Cup, 3 Oct 2024

📅03/10/2024 · 🕒05:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.91
Over
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
44%
4-5
24%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
14%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.7pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.5pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-1.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.7pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Motagua EU Bookmakers 26%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
1.78/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.81
-29% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -63%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
21.0 Crosses 21.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CS Herediano
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Motagua
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
26.09.2024 Motagua Motagua 2-2 HT 1-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano CONOAK
29.08.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 1-1 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua CONOAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Herediano
0-0
AWAY Motagua
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH CS Herediano vs Motagua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Herediano and Motagua played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was CS Herediano at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CS Herediano had 44% of the ball to Motagua's 56%, shots finished 6-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CS Herediano and 1.50 for Motagua.

What was the final score of CS Herediano vs Motagua?

CS Herediano 0-0 Motagua in the CONCACAF - Central Amerika Cup on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Herediano vs Motagua?

Before kick-off our model rated a CS Herediano win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split CS Herediano 50%, draw 29%, Motagua 21%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CS Herediano) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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CONOAK More CONCACAF - Central Amerika Cup
3 Oct 2024
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