LDU Quito 0-0 El Nacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Cup, 3 Oct 2024

📅03/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.47
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.16
No
47%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
64%
-14.2pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.5pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+8.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
42%
+10.9pp
47%
BTTS No
58%
-10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY El Nacional EU Bookmakers 16%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
364 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LDU Quito
4W-2D-0L
AWAY El Nacional
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.61 xG 0.70
61% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
326 Passes 178
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
22.09.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-1 HT 1-1 El Nacional El Nacional EKV1
06.04.2024 El Nacional El Nacional 1-2 HT 1-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
19.08.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 0-0 HT 0-0 El Nacional El Nacional EKV1
20.03.2023 El Nacional El Nacional 0-2 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
25.10.2020 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-0 HT 0-0 El Nacional El Nacional EKV1
29.02.2020 El Nacional El Nacional 0-3 HT 0-2 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LDU Quito
0-0
AWAY El Nacional
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH LDU Quito vs El Nacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LDU Quito and El Nacional played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was LDU Quito at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, LDU Quito had 50% of the ball to El Nacional's 50%, shots finished 0-0.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for LDU Quito and 0.33 for El Nacional.

What was the final score of LDU Quito vs El Nacional?

LDU Quito 0-0 El Nacional in the Ecuador - Cup on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs El Nacional?

Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 50%, draw 28%, El Nacional 22%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (LDU Quito), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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