El Nacional vs LDU Quito Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Nacional v LDU Quito — Team-Based Signals
El Nacional vs LDU Quito Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
El Nacional
EKV1
0-2
HT 0-0
LDU Quito
EKV1
1-0
HT 0-0
El Nacional
EKV1
0-3
HT 0-2
LDU Quito
EKV1
2-0
HT 1-0
El Nacional
EKV1
2-2
HT 1-1
LDU Quito
EKV1
El Nacional 1-2 LDU Quito — Actual Match Statistics
LDU Quito edged past El Nacional 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had LDU Quito as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, El Nacional had 40% of the ball to LDU Quito's 60%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.16 to 0.69 — on chances, El Nacional could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for El Nacional and 1.67 for LDU Quito.
What was the final score of El Nacional vs LDU Quito?
El Nacional 1-2 LDU Quito in the Ecuador - Premier on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Nacional vs LDU Quito?
Before kick-off our model rated an LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split El Nacional 31%, draw 27%, LDU Quito 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.