Aucas vs Cumbaya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aucas v Cumbaya — Team-Based Signals
Aucas vs Cumbaya Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Aucas
EKV1
2-1
HT 1-0
Cumbaya
EKV1
0-0
HT 0-0
Aucas
EKV1
0-0
HT 0-0
Aucas
EKV1
1-0
HT 1-0
Cumbaya
EKV1
Aucas 3-0 Cumbaya — Actual Match Statistics
Aucas swept aside Cumbaya 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aucas as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Aucas had 52% of the ball to Cumbaya's 48%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.78 to 0.47.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Aucas had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Aucas and 0.40 for Cumbaya.
What was the final score of Aucas vs Cumbaya?
Aucas 3-0 Cumbaya in the Ecuador - Premier on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aucas vs Cumbaya?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aucas win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Aucas 55%, draw 26%, Cumbaya 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aucas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.