Orense vs Mushuc Runa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Orense v Mushuc Runa — Team-Based Signals
Orense vs Mushuc Runa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Mushuc Runa
EKV1
3-1
HT 1-0
Orense
EKV1
1-1
HT 1-0
Orense
EKV1
0-0
HT 0-0
Mushuc Runa
EKV1
0-0
HT 0-0
Orense
EKV1
0-2
HT 0-1
Mushuc Runa
EKV1
Orense 2-2 Mushuc Runa — Actual Match Statistics
Orense and Mushuc Runa shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.
Our pre-match lean was Orense at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Orense had 60% of the ball to Mushuc Runa's 40%, shots finished 23-14, expected goals 2.19 to 1.28.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mushuc Runa led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Orense and 1.00 for Mushuc Runa.
What was the final score of Orense vs Mushuc Runa?
Orense 2-2 Mushuc Runa in the Ecuador - Premier on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Orense vs Mushuc Runa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Orense win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Orense 43%, draw 29%, Mushuc Runa 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.