LDU Quito vs El Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
LDU Quito v El Nacional — Team-Based Signals
LDU Quito vs El Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
El Nacional
EKV1
0-2
HT 0-0
LDU Quito
EKV1
1-0
HT 0-0
El Nacional
EKV1
0-3
HT 0-2
LDU Quito
EKV1
2-0
HT 1-0
El Nacional
EKV1
LDU Quito 1-1 El Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
LDU Quito and El Nacional couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had LDU Quito at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.
On the day, LDU Quito had 62% of the ball to El Nacional's 38%, shots finished 25-9, expected goals 1.82 to 1.09.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for LDU Quito and 0.17 for El Nacional.
What was the final score of LDU Quito vs El Nacional?
LDU Quito 1-1 El Nacional in the Ecuador - Premier on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for LDU Quito vs El Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated a LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split LDU Quito 56%, draw 25%, El Nacional 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (LDU Quito), BTTS No went the other way.