Macara 2-0 Imbabura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macara EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Imbabura EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
1.43/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.95
-10% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -54%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
242 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 74%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
19.3 Crosses 17.0
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macara
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Imbabura
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.88 xG 1.14
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
208 Passes 374
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 14
7 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
09.04.2024 Imbabura Imbabura 0-1 HT 0-0 Macara Macara EKV1
06.07.2023 Macara Macara 0-2 HT 0-0 Imbabura Imbabura EKV2
25.06.2023 Macara Macara 2-0 HT 1-0 Imbabura Imbabura EKV2
03.05.2023 Imbabura Imbabura 1-1 HT 1-1 Macara Macara EKV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macara
2-0
AWAY Imbabura
1.00 xG 0.62
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
250 Passes 345
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Macara vs Imbabura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macara saw off Imbabura 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Macara as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Macara had 44% of the ball to Imbabura's 56%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.00 to 0.62.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Macara had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Macara and 0.75 for Imbabura.

What was the final score of Macara vs Imbabura?

Macara 2-0 Imbabura in the Ecuador - Premier on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macara vs Imbabura?

Before kick-off our model rated a Macara win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Macara 41%, draw 29%, Imbabura 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Macara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Macara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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