Mushuc Runa 3-0 Orense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.68
Over 2.5
38%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.1pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mushuc Runa EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Orense EU Bookmakers 27%
+20% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.50/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.15
+57% / +99% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
285 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 76%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
22.9 Crosses 13.7
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mushuc Runa
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Orense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.55 xG 0.89
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
200 Passes 273
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Orense Orense 2-2 HT 1-2 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
11.11.2023 Orense Orense 1-0 HT 1-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
03.06.2023 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 3-1 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
13.08.2022 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 1-1 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
03.04.2022 Orense Orense 0-0 HT 0-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
25.09.2021 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 0-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mushuc Runa
3-0
AWAY Orense
1.89 xG 0.69
36% Ball Possession 64%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 7
100 Passes 233
54% Pass Accuracy 68%
23 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mushuc Runa vs Orense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mushuc Runa cruised past Orense 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mushuc Runa as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Mushuc Runa had 36% of the ball to Orense's 64%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.89 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mushuc Runa and 0.83 for Orense.

What was the final score of Mushuc Runa vs Orense?

Mushuc Runa 3-0 Orense in the Ecuador - Premier on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mushuc Runa vs Orense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mushuc Runa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 46%, draw 28%, Orense 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mushuc Runa), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mushuc Runa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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