Deportivo Cuenca 1-0 Barcelona SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.74
Over 2.5
52%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-1.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
54%
-6.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
46%
+6.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.0pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +16%
1.36/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.01
+21% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
255 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
19.8 Crosses 15.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Barcelona SC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.02 xG 1.53
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
243 Passes 305
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 4-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
25.09.2023 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-2 HT 0-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
23.04.2023 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 2-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
09.10.2022 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 2-1 HT 1-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
16.05.2022 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
18.09.2021 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 3-2 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
1-0
AWAY Barcelona SC
1.02 xG 0.64
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
181 Passes 340
69% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cuenca vs Barcelona SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Cuenca nicked a narrow win over Barcelona SC 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Cuenca found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Deportivo Cuenca had 38% of the ball to Barcelona SC's 62%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 1.02 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona SC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo Cuenca and 2.17 for Barcelona SC.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cuenca vs Barcelona SC?

Deportivo Cuenca 1-0 Barcelona SC in the Ecuador - Premier on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cuenca vs Barcelona SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barcelona SC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cuenca 35%, draw 29%, Barcelona SC 36%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Barcelona SC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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