Odisha FC 2-2 Kerala Blasters — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 3 Oct 2024

Odisha FC
2-2 HT 2-2
Kerala Blasters
📅03/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
India - Super League – 2024/2025

Odisha FC vs Kerala Blasters Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.73
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.26
6+ Goals
11%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 30% vs market 21.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+1.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.8pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Odisha FC v Kerala Blasters — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Odisha FC EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerala Blasters EU Bookmakers 30%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.72/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.24
+54% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
16.3 Crosses 16.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8

Odisha FC vs Kerala Blasters Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Odisha FC
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Kerala Blasters
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.37 xG 1.09
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
306 Passes 280
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.04.2024 Odisha FC Odisha FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
02.02.2024 Odisha FC Odisha FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
27.10.2023 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 2-1 HT 0-1 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
26.12.2022 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 1-0 HT 0-0 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
23.10.2022 Odisha FC Odisha FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
12.01.2022 Odisha FC Odisha FC 0-2 HT 0-2 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL

Odisha FC 2-2 Kerala Blasters — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Odisha FC
2-2
AWAY Kerala Blasters
1.45 xG 1.19
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 9
307 Passes 271
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
31 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Odisha FC vs Kerala Blasters
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Odisha FC and Kerala Blasters couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match lean was Odisha FC at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Odisha FC had 51% of the ball to Kerala Blasters's 49%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 1.45 to 1.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Odisha FC and 1.33 for Kerala Blasters.

What was the final score of Odisha FC vs Kerala Blasters?

Odisha FC 2-2 Kerala Blasters in the India - Super League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Odisha FC vs Kerala Blasters?

Before kick-off our model rated a Odisha FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Odisha FC 49%, draw 27%, Kerala Blasters 24%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Odisha FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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