Braunschweig 1-2 Paderborn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 3 Oct 2025

Braunschweig
1-2 HT 0-1
Paderborn
📅03/10/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Braunschweig vs Paderborn Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
53%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.17
2-3 Goals
36%
1.86
4-5 Goals
29%
2.91
6+ Goals
10%
8.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.52
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
21.8
1/X
5%
13.3
X/1
6%
8.01
X/2
19%
4.89
X/X
13%
5.36
2/1
5%
33.0
2/2
27%
2.57
2/X
6%
12.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.8 — our 7% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
26%
-3.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
53%
Away Win
48%
+5.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.4pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Braunschweig v Paderborn — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Braunschweig EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Paderborn EU Bookmakers 52%
+3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -9%
1.27/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.20
-8% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -13%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
240 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 80%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.7
18.1 Crosses 20.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6

Braunschweig vs Paderborn Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Braunschweig
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Paderborn
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.38 xG 2.02
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
267 Passes 428
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
04.04.2025 Braunschweig Braunschweig 3-2 HT 1-1 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
03.11.2024 Paderborn Paderborn 0-0 HT 0-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
15.03.2024 Paderborn Paderborn 1-2 HT 0-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
08.10.2023 Braunschweig Braunschweig 1-3 HT 1-2 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
28.04.2023 Paderborn Paderborn 5-1 HT 2-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
22.10.2022 Braunschweig Braunschweig 0-0 HT 0-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2

Braunschweig 1-2 Paderborn — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Braunschweig
1-2
AWAY Paderborn
0.50 xG 0.74
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
375 Passes 423
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 30
7 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Braunschweig vs Paderborn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paderborn squeezed past Braunschweig 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Paderborn as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Braunschweig had 48% of the ball to Paderborn's 52%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.50 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Braunschweig and 1.83 for Paderborn.

What was the final score of Braunschweig vs Paderborn?

Braunschweig 1-2 Paderborn in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Braunschweig vs Paderborn?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paderborn win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Braunschweig 24%, draw 23%, Paderborn 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paderborn), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paderborn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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