Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 1-0 Paderborn 07 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 Oct 2025

📅03/10/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Oberhausen EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Paderborn 07 II EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.55/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.58
-14% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Paderborn 07 II
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2025 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 2-0 HT 0-0 Paderborn 07 II Paderborn 07 II ALMBÖL
28.09.2024 Paderborn 07 II Paderborn 07 II 3-1 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen ALMBÖL
25.11.2023 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 4-1 HT 3-0 Paderborn 07 II Paderborn 07 II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Paderborn 07 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen edged past Paderborn 07 II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rot-Weiss Oberhausen as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Oberhausen had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Rot-Weiss Oberhausen and 1.33 for Paderborn 07 II.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Paderborn 07 II?

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 1-0 Paderborn 07 II in the Germany - Regional League on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Paderborn 07 II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Oberhausen win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 43%, draw 28%, Paderborn 07 II 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rot-Weiss Oberhausen), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Oberhausen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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