Paysandu 1-1 Cuiaba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 3 Oct 2025

📅03/10/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.67
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
30%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.21
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
5.0
6+ Goals
7%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
34%
+8.0pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.8pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-5.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.6pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paysandu EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Cuiaba EU Bookmakers 39%
-7% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -22%
1.19/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.18
-28% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
299 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 80%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
27.1 Crosses 22.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paysandu
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cuiaba
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.73 xG 2.27
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
167 Passes 390
66% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Box Touches 30
7 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.06.2025 Cuiaba Cuiaba 1-0 HT 0-0 Paysandu Paysandu BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paysandu
1-1
AWAY Cuiaba
1.90 xG 1.09
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
398 Passes 235
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 12
38 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paysandu vs Cuiaba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paysandu and Cuiaba shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Paysandu at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Paysandu had 62% of the ball to Cuiaba's 38%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.90 to 1.09.

What was the final score of Paysandu vs Cuiaba?

Paysandu 1-1 Cuiaba in the Brazil - Serie B on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paysandu vs Cuiaba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paysandu win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Paysandu 42%, draw 28%, Cuiaba 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Paysandu), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paysandu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR2 More Brazil - Serie B
3 Oct 2025
03:30 Vila Nova vs Criciuma Analysis →