Vila Nova vs Criciuma Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vila Nova v Criciuma — Team-Based Signals
Vila Nova vs Criciuma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Vila Nova
BR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Criciuma
BR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Criciuma
BR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Vila Nova
BR2
1-1
HT 0-0
Criciuma
BR2
Vila Nova 1-1 Criciuma — Actual Match Statistics
Vila Nova and Criciuma shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 34% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.
On the day, Vila Nova had 38% of the ball to Criciuma's 62%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.24 to 1.05.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Criciuma led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Vila Nova and 0.67 for Criciuma.
What was the final score of Vila Nova vs Criciuma?
Vila Nova 1-1 Criciuma in the Brazil - Serie B on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vila Nova vs Criciuma?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vila Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Vila Nova 37%, draw 34%, Criciuma 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vila Nova), BTTS No went the other way.