Jaro 2-1 Haka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 3 Oct 2025

Jaro
2-1 HT 0-0
Haka
📅03/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Finland - Veikkausliiga – 2025

Jaro vs Haka Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.5
No
40%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.67
2-3 Goals
42%
1.95
4-5 Goals
25%
2.91
6+ Goals
11%
8.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.14
1/2
8%
22.25
1/X
9%
13.25
X/1
9%
6.54
X/2
13%
5.36
X/X
12%
5.71
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
26.5
2/2
22%
3.05
2/X
6%
12.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 8% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-4.2pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.9pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+0.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
62%
-2.0pp
40%
BTTS No
38%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jaro v Haka — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaro EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Haka EU Bookmakers 46%
+9% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.39/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.99
+24% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 73%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
23.4 Crosses 22.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

Jaro vs Haka Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaro
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Haka
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.45 xG 1.48
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
304 Passes 320
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.08.2025 Jaro Jaro 2-1 HT 0-0 Haka Haka FİN
02.05.2025 Haka Haka 0-1 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
14.09.2019 Jaro Jaro 1-3 HT 0-2 Haka Haka FİN2
13.07.2019 Haka Haka 2-0 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
25.05.2019 Jaro Jaro 1-3 HT 1-1 Haka Haka FİN2
23.02.2019 Jaro Jaro 0-3 HT 0-1 Haka Haka FİK

Jaro 2-1 Haka — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaro
2-1
AWAY Haka
2.00 xG 0.91
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 6
372 Passes 245
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jaro vs Haka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jaro nicked a narrow win over Haka 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Haka at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Jaro had 58% of the ball to Haka's 42%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 2.00 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haka led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Jaro and 2.00 for Haka.

What was the final score of Jaro vs Haka?

Jaro 2-1 Haka in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaro vs Haka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Haka win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Jaro 30%, draw 28%, Haka 43%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Haka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Haka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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