Haka vs Jaro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Haka v Jaro — Team-Based Signals
Haka vs Jaro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-2
Haka
FİN2
2-0
HT 0-0
Jaro
FİN2
1-3
HT 1-1
Haka
FİN2
0-3
HT 0-1
Haka
FİK
1-2
HT 0-1
Haka
FİN2
1-0
HT 1-0
Jaro
FİN2
Haka 0-1 Jaro — Actual Match Statistics
Jaro squeezed past Haka 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Haka at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Haka had 52% of the ball to Jaro's 48%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 2.09 to 1.42 — on chances, Haka could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haka had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Haka and 0.50 for Jaro.
What was the final score of Haka vs Jaro?
Haka 0-1 Jaro in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Haka vs Jaro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Haka win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Haka 43%, draw 28%, Jaro 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.