VPS 1-0 Ilves Tampere — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.75
2-3 Goals
39%
1.97
4-5 Goals
27%
2.93
6+ Goals
11%
8.17
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.63
1/2
7%
22.0
1/X
9%
13.2
X/1
11%
7.15
X/2
15%
5.24
X/X
11%
5.68
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
23%
2.86
2/X
7%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-2.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
45%
Away Win
45%
-0.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.4pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VPS EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 49%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +16%
1.43/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.20
+7% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +77%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
284 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 445 · 84%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.5
17.4 Crosses 18.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VPS
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Ilves Tampere
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.68 xG 0.97
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
402 Passes 458
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
29 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2025 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-0 HT 0-0 VPS VPS FLK
04.10.2024 VPS VPS 0-2 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
21.07.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 3-2 HT 1-2 VPS VPS FİN
07.06.2024 VPS VPS 1-1 HT 1-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
03.02.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 3-1 HT 2-1 VPS VPS FLK
28.07.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 0-2 HT 0-2 VPS VPS FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VPS
1-0
AWAY Ilves Tampere
0.64 xG 0.75
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 11
246 Passes 457
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH VPS vs Ilves Tampere
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VPS nicked a narrow win over Ilves Tampere 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ilves Tampere at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, VPS had 38% of the ball to Ilves Tampere's 62%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.64 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ilves Tampere led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for VPS and 1.67 for Ilves Tampere.

What was the final score of VPS vs Ilves Tampere?

VPS 1-0 Ilves Tampere in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VPS vs Ilves Tampere?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split VPS 28%, draw 27%, Ilves Tampere 45%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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