Ilves Tampere 1-0 VPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.21
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
2.78
6+ Goals
11%
7.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-5.9pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.4pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+4.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.5pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY VPS EU Bookmakers 22%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
1.42/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/3.13
-28% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / -58%
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
385 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilves Tampere
4W-1D-1L
AWAY VPS
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.04 xG 1.49
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
411 Passes 410
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.10.2024 VPS VPS 0-2 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
21.07.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 3-2 HT 1-2 VPS VPS FİN
07.06.2024 VPS VPS 1-1 HT 1-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
03.02.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 3-1 HT 2-1 VPS VPS FLK
28.07.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 0-2 HT 0-2 VPS VPS FİN
26.05.2023 VPS VPS 0-2 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilves Tampere
1-0
AWAY VPS
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ilves Tampere vs VPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilves Tampere squeezed past VPS 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ilves Tampere as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Ilves Tampere had 50% of the ball to VPS's 50%, shots finished 14-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ilves Tampere had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ilves Tampere and 1.00 for VPS.

What was the final score of Ilves Tampere vs VPS?

Ilves Tampere 1-0 VPS in the Finland - League Cup on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilves Tampere vs VPS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Ilves Tampere 53%, draw 23%, VPS 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilves Tampere), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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