Oulu 4-0 Jaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 15 Feb 2025

Oulu
4-0 HT 1-0
Jaro
📅15/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Finland - League Cup – 2024/2025

Oulu vs Jaro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.19
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.33
6+ Goals
10%
12.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 29% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
56%
-12.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+9.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.6pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Oulu v Jaro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oulu EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaro EU Bookmakers 23%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.48/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/2.00
-17% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Oulu vs Jaro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oulu
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Jaro
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
The Meetings
25.09.2020 Jaro Jaro 2-0 HT 0-0 Oulu Oulu FİN2
01.08.2020 Oulu Oulu 2-1 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
05.10.2019 Oulu Oulu 4-1 HT 1-1 Jaro Jaro FİN2
24.07.2019 Jaro Jaro 4-3 HT 2-1 Oulu Oulu FİN2
09.06.2019 Oulu Oulu 0-0 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
09.02.2019 Jaro Jaro 1-3 HT 0-1 Oulu Oulu FİK
POST-MATCH Oulu vs Jaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oulu cruised past Jaro 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Oulu as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oulu had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Oulu and 1.50 for Jaro.

What was the final score of Oulu vs Jaro?

Oulu 4-0 Jaro in the Finland - League Cup on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oulu vs Jaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oulu win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Oulu 44%, draw 27%, Jaro 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oulu) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oulu) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FLK More Finland - League Cup
15 Feb 2025
15:00 Inter Turku vs Gnistan Analysis →
15:30 SJK Seinajoki vs KuPS Kuopio Analysis →
15:45 Ilves Tampere vs VPS Analysis →