Inter Turku 2-0 Gnistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
38%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.43
2-3 Goals
43%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
2.71
6+ Goals
9%
7.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.43 — our 26% vs market 16.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
51%
-11.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
38%
Away Win
25%
+12.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.9pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Gnistan EU Bookmakers 29%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.17/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.49
-21% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
279 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Turku
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Gnistan
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.60 xG 1.06
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
407 Passes 241
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 3-2 HT 2-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
22.07.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 2-2 HT 1-1 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
06.04.2024 Gnistan Gnistan 2-1 HT 2-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
07.02.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-2 HT 1-1 Gnistan Gnistan FLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Turku
2-0
AWAY Gnistan
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Inter Turku vs Gnistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Turku got the better of Gnistan 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; Inter Turku found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Inter Turku had 58% of the ball to Gnistan's 42%, shots finished 10-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gnistan led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Inter Turku and 2.00 for Gnistan.

What was the final score of Inter Turku vs Gnistan?

Inter Turku 2-0 Gnistan in the Finland - League Cup on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Turku vs Gnistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Inter Turku 39%, draw 23%, Gnistan 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Turku), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter Turku) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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