Inter Turku 2-2 Gnistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 22 Jul 2024

Inter Turku
2-2 HT 1-1
Gnistan
📅22/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Finland - Veikkausliiga – 2024

Inter Turku vs Gnistan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
35%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.59
2-3 Goals
44%
1.9
4-5 Goals
19%
2.88
6+ Goals
11%
8.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.59 — our 26% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.26
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.85
X/1
14%
4.31
X/2 EV+ ✗
17%
8.83
X/X
9%
5.8
2/1
6%
20.95
2/2
13%
6.06
2/X
6%
14.3
Value flag · X/2 at 8.83 — our 17% vs market 7.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.8pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
35%
Away Win
24%
+11.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.9pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Inter Turku v Gnistan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Gnistan EU Bookmakers 27%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.14/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.18
+16% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
31.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
17.5 Crosses 19.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 4.0

Inter Turku vs Gnistan Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Turku
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Gnistan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.21 xG 1.20
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
425 Passes 149
85% Pass Accuracy 64%
43 Box Touches 18
36 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.04.2024 Gnistan Gnistan 2-1 HT 2-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
07.02.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-2 HT 1-1 Gnistan Gnistan FLK

Inter Turku 2-2 Gnistan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Turku
2-2
AWAY Gnistan
1.96 xG 1.30
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 9
359 Passes 266
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Inter Turku vs Gnistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Turku and Gnistan shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Inter Turku at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Inter Turku had 55% of the ball to Gnistan's 45%, shots finished 12-19, expected goals 1.96 to 1.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gnistan led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Inter Turku and 2.00 for Gnistan.

What was the final score of Inter Turku vs Gnistan?

Inter Turku 2-2 Gnistan in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 22/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Turku vs Gnistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Inter Turku 44%, draw 21%, Gnistan 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Inter Turku) ✗ BTTS No
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