VPS 0-2 Ilves Tampere — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
42%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.92
4-5 Goals
23%
2.84
6+ Goals
11%
7.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.98
1/2
9%
21.1
1/X
8%
13.8
X/1
10%
8.83
X/2
14%
4.42
X/X
13%
5.72
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.28
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
24%
+6.1pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.2pp
42%
Away Win
52%
-10.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.7pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VPS EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 56%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.60/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.20
+18% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -7%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 497 · 86%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
14.6 Crosses 15.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VPS
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Ilves Tampere
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.61 xG 1.13
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
390 Passes 402
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.07.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 3-2 HT 1-2 VPS VPS FİN
07.06.2024 VPS VPS 1-1 HT 1-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
03.02.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 3-1 HT 2-1 VPS VPS FLK
28.07.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 0-2 HT 0-2 VPS VPS FİN
26.05.2023 VPS VPS 0-2 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
18.02.2023 VPS VPS 0-0 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VPS
0-2
AWAY Ilves Tampere
1.13 xG 0.77
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
467 Passes 440
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
27 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH VPS vs Ilves Tampere
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilves Tampere got the better of VPS 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ilves Tampere as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, VPS had 52% of the ball to Ilves Tampere's 48%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.13 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ilves Tampere led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for VPS and 1.50 for Ilves Tampere.

What was the final score of VPS vs Ilves Tampere?

VPS 0-2 Ilves Tampere in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VPS vs Ilves Tampere?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split VPS 30%, draw 28%, Ilves Tampere 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilves Tampere) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →