KuPS Kuopio 1-0 SJK Seinajoki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.49
2-3 Goals
40%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
3.02
6+ Goals
12%
8.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.51
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
19%
4.83
X/2
7%
8.22
X/X
9%
5.59
2/1
6%
21.6
2/2
20%
5.7
2/X
5%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.4pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.8pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.7pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -15%
1.17/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.92
-31% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
269 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
22.1 Crosses 19.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Kuopio
4W-2D-0L
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.26 xG 0.68
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
458 Passes 350
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 4
15.02.2025 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-3 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FLK
05.10.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 0-1 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
22.08.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 2-2 HT 2-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİK
04.08.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-1 HT 1-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
04.05.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-1 HT 1-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
17.02.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-3 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Kuopio
1-0
AWAY SJK Seinajoki
0.95 xG 0.91
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
380 Passes 412
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH KuPS Kuopio vs SJK Seinajoki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio edged past SJK Seinajoki 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had KuPS Kuopio as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, KuPS Kuopio had 48% of the ball to SJK Seinajoki's 52%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.95 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for KuPS Kuopio and 1.00 for SJK Seinajoki.

What was the final score of KuPS Kuopio vs SJK Seinajoki?

KuPS Kuopio 1-0 SJK Seinajoki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Kuopio vs SJK Seinajoki?

Before kick-off our model rated a KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split KuPS Kuopio 46%, draw 22%, SJK Seinajoki 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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