SJK Seinajoki 0-1 KuPS Kuopio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.66
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
25%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.71
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
24.45
1/X
8%
12.5
X/1
11%
6.09
X/2
11%
5.59
X/X
11%
5.4
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
18%
3.29
2/X
6%
12.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.45 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+0.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.5pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.21/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/0.87
+3% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +0%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
315 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 82%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
20.1 Crosses 23.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SJK Seinajoki
0W-3D-3L
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.74 xG 1.57
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
341 Passes 428
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.08.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 2-2 HT 2-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİK
04.08.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-1 HT 1-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
04.05.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-1 HT 1-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
17.02.2024 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki 1-3 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FLK
01.10.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-1 HT 0-1 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
20.08.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-0 HT 1-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SJK Seinajoki
0-1
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
0.48 xG 0.46
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
374 Passes 460
87% Pass Accuracy 88%
26 Box Touches 21
32 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SJK Seinajoki vs KuPS Kuopio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio squeezed past SJK Seinajoki 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 39% — and on the day KuPS Kuopio made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SJK Seinajoki had 46% of the ball to KuPS Kuopio's 54%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 0.48 to 0.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SJK Seinajoki and 2.00 for KuPS Kuopio.

What was the final score of SJK Seinajoki vs KuPS Kuopio?

SJK Seinajoki 0-1 KuPS Kuopio in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SJK Seinajoki vs KuPS Kuopio?

Before kick-off our model rated an KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split SJK Seinajoki 37%, draw 25%, KuPS Kuopio 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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