EIF 1-1 Oulu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 5 Oct 2024

EIF
1-1 HT 1-0
Oulu
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.89
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.89 — our 28% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.71
1/2
8%
23.6
1/X
5%
13.45
X/1
11%
6.85
X/2
12%
4.75
X/X
13%
5.14
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
24%
2.83
2/X
9%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.8pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EIF EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Oulu EU Bookmakers 49%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.09/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.67
-11% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
283 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 84%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
14.3 Crosses 22.4
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EIF
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Oulu
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.94 xG 0.84
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
290 Passes 497
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
13 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2024 Oulu Oulu 2-0 HT 0-0 EIF EIF FİN
21.04.2024 EIF EIF 1-1 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
31.10.2020 EIF EIF 1-2 HT 0-2 Oulu Oulu FİN2
21.08.2020 Oulu Oulu 1-1 HT 1-1 EIF EIF FİN2
20.10.2019 EIF EIF 2-2 HT 1-2 Oulu Oulu FİN2
10.08.2019 Oulu Oulu 1-2 HT 0-1 EIF EIF FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME EIF
1-1
AWAY Oulu
0.56 xG 1.47
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
535 Passes 409
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH EIF vs Oulu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

EIF and Oulu shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Oulu at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, EIF had 55% of the ball to Oulu's 45%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.56 to 1.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oulu led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for EIF and 1.50 for Oulu.

What was the final score of EIF vs Oulu?

EIF 1-1 Oulu in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EIF vs Oulu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oulu win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split EIF 29%, draw 27%, Oulu 44%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Oulu) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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