Oulu 2-0 EIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 20 Jul 2024

Oulu
2-0 HT 0-0
EIF
📅20/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.25
6+ Goals
11%
11.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.74 — our 26% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1.93
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.4
X/1
20%
3.72
X/2
11%
11.4
X/X
14%
5.72
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
9%
8.96
2/X
6%
17.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-13.2pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.7pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+8.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oulu EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY EIF EU Bookmakers 21%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.20/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/2.31
+70% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
411 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
14.0 Crosses 14.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oulu
2W-3D-1L
AWAY EIF
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.32 xG 1.47
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
616 Passes 137
89% Pass Accuracy 61%
33 Box Touches 12
44 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.04.2024 EIF EIF 1-1 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
31.10.2020 EIF EIF 1-2 HT 0-2 Oulu Oulu FİN2
21.08.2020 Oulu Oulu 1-1 HT 1-1 EIF EIF FİN2
20.10.2019 EIF EIF 2-2 HT 1-2 Oulu Oulu FİN2
10.08.2019 Oulu Oulu 1-2 HT 0-1 EIF EIF FİN2
16.06.2019 EIF EIF 0-3 HT 0-1 Oulu Oulu FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oulu
2-0
AWAY EIF
0.37 xG 0.40
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
378 Passes 444
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Oulu vs EIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oulu saw off EIF 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Oulu as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Oulu had 46% of the ball to EIF's 54%, shots finished 5-9, expected goals 0.37 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oulu had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Oulu and 1.17 for EIF.

What was the final score of Oulu vs EIF?

Oulu 2-0 EIF in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oulu vs EIF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oulu win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Oulu 48%, draw 27%, EIF 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oulu), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oulu) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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