HJK Helsinki 2-0 Haka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.92
4-5 Goals
22%
2.83
6+ Goals
11%
7.82
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.74 — our 27% vs market 16.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.03
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.55
X/1
16%
4.23
X/2
9%
10.8
X/X
13%
5.73
2/1
6%
21.35
2/2
7%
7.55
2/X
6%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-7.4pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.4pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+3.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.7pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Haka EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.62/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/2.28
-5% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
20.5 Crosses 17.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HJK Helsinki
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Haka
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.31 xG 0.74
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
415 Passes 294
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Haka Haka 1-1 HT 1-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
27.06.2023 Haka Haka 1-1 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
29.04.2023 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 2-0 HT 2-0 Haka Haka FİN
09.10.2022 Haka Haka 0-1 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
21.08.2022 Haka Haka 0-3 HT 0-3 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
22.05.2022 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 4-1 HT 1-1 Haka Haka FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HJK Helsinki
2-0
AWAY Haka
2.15 xG 0.63
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
285 Passes 354
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
21 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH HJK Helsinki vs Haka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HJK Helsinki got the better of Haka 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had HJK Helsinki as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, HJK Helsinki had 47% of the ball to Haka's 53%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 2.15 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HJK Helsinki had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for HJK Helsinki and 0.50 for Haka.

What was the final score of HJK Helsinki vs Haka?

HJK Helsinki 2-0 Haka in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HJK Helsinki vs Haka?

Before kick-off our model rated a HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split HJK Helsinki 50%, draw 28%, Haka 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HJK Helsinki), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (HJK Helsinki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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