Haka 1-1 HJK Helsinki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
43%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.89
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.03
6+ Goals
11%
18.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 30% vs market 28.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.99
1/2
8%
26.0
1/X
6%
14.85
X/1
12%
7.55
X/2
15%
4.19
X/X
14%
4.44
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.64
2/X
5%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
25%
+6.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
43%
Away Win
48%
-5.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haka EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 52%
+7% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +12%
1.17/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.90
+24% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
207 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 80%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
15.9 Crosses 15.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haka
0W-1D-5L
AWAY HJK Helsinki
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.72 xG 0.98
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
286 Passes 399
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.06.2023 Haka Haka 1-1 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
29.04.2023 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 2-0 HT 2-0 Haka Haka FİN
09.10.2022 Haka Haka 0-1 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
21.08.2022 Haka Haka 0-3 HT 0-3 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
22.05.2022 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 4-1 HT 1-1 Haka Haka FİN
24.07.2021 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 2-0 HT 2-0 Haka Haka FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haka
1-1
AWAY HJK Helsinki
0.79 xG 1.97
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
310 Passes 447
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Haka vs HJK Helsinki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haka and HJK Helsinki shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was HJK Helsinki at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Haka had 43% of the ball to HJK Helsinki's 57%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 0.79 to 1.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, HJK Helsinki led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Haka and 2.17 for HJK Helsinki.

What was the final score of Haka vs HJK Helsinki?

Haka 1-1 HJK Helsinki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haka vs HJK Helsinki?

Before kick-off our model rated an HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Haka 32%, draw 25%, HJK Helsinki 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (HJK Helsinki), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (HJK Helsinki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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