FC Lahti 0-1 KuPS Kuopio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
48%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.74
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.28
6+ Goals
9%
21.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
6.37
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
7%
15.5
X/1
11%
7.75
X/2
18%
4.04
X/X
14%
4.37
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.57
2/X
6%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
24%
+1.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
47%
Away Win
50%
-2.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.4pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
1.20/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.83
+6% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -21%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 81%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.3
18.3 Crosses 26.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Lahti
0W-0D-6L
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.20 xG 1.54
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
373 Passes 376
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
16.03.2024 FC Lahti FC Lahti 0-2 HT 0-2 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FLK
01.07.2023 FC Lahti FC Lahti 3-4 HT 1-2 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
20.05.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-0 HT 2-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
31.08.2022 FC Lahti FC Lahti 0-1 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİK
10.07.2022 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 4-0 HT 1-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
22.04.2022 FC Lahti FC Lahti 0-1 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Lahti
0-1
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
0.17 xG 1.01
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 8
0 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
228 Passes 302
69% Pass Accuracy 72%
11 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Lahti vs KuPS Kuopio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio nicked a narrow win over FC Lahti 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had KuPS Kuopio as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, FC Lahti had 45% of the ball to KuPS Kuopio's 55%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 0.17 to 1.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FC Lahti and 2.33 for KuPS Kuopio.

What was the final score of FC Lahti vs KuPS Kuopio?

FC Lahti 0-1 KuPS Kuopio in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Lahti vs KuPS Kuopio?

Before kick-off our model rated an KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FC Lahti 25%, draw 27%, KuPS Kuopio 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KuPS Kuopio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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