Jaro 2-1 Haka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 9 Aug 2025

Jaro
2-1 HT 0-0
Haka
📅09/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Finland - Veikkausliiga – 2025

Jaro vs Haka Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.43
Over 2.5
53%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.23
2-3 Goals
44%
2.01
4-5 Goals
22%
2.76
6+ Goals
10%
6.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.24
1/2
6%
24.35
1/X
6%
12.45
X/1
10%
5.76
X/2 EV+ ✗
16%
6.35
X/X
11%
5.86
2/1
6%
22.6
2/2
17%
3.76
2/X
8%
12.55
Value flag · X/2 at 6.35 — our 16% vs market 11.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+3.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.2pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jaro v Haka — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaro EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Haka EU Bookmakers 38%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +9%
1.67/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.98
+16% / +139% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +33%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
– Crosses 16.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Jaro vs Haka Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaro
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Haka
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.42 xG 2.09
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
335 Passes 360
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 23
24 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.05.2025 Haka Haka 0-1 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
14.09.2019 Jaro Jaro 1-3 HT 0-2 Haka Haka FİN2
13.07.2019 Haka Haka 2-0 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
25.05.2019 Jaro Jaro 1-3 HT 1-1 Haka Haka FİN2
23.02.2019 Jaro Jaro 0-3 HT 0-1 Haka Haka FİK
27.10.2018 Jaro Jaro 1-2 HT 0-1 Haka Haka FİN2

Jaro 2-1 Haka — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaro
2-1
AWAY Haka
1.48 xG 0.87
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 9
273 Passes 280
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jaro vs Haka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jaro edged past Haka 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Jaro made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Jaro had 49% of the ball to Haka's 51%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.48 to 0.87.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haka led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Jaro and 2.17 for Haka.

What was the final score of Jaro vs Haka?

Jaro 2-1 Haka in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaro vs Haka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Haka win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Jaro 36%, draw 26%, Haka 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Haka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Haka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİN More Finland - Veikkausliiga
9 Aug 2025
16:00 KTP Kotka vs KuPS Kuopio Analysis →
19:00 IFK Mariehamn vs Gnistan Analysis →