IFK Mariehamn vs Gnistan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
IFK Mariehamn v Gnistan — Team-Based Signals
IFK Mariehamn vs Gnistan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
IFK Mariehamn 2-5 Gnistan — Actual Match Statistics
Gnistan swept aside IFK Mariehamn 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Gnistan as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, IFK Mariehamn had 48% of the ball to Gnistan's 52%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.03 to 2.29.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gnistan led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for IFK Mariehamn and 1.83 for Gnistan.
What was the final score of IFK Mariehamn vs Gnistan?
IFK Mariehamn 2-5 Gnistan in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for IFK Mariehamn vs Gnistan?
Before kick-off our model rated an Gnistan win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split IFK Mariehamn 28%, draw 25%, Gnistan 48%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gnistan), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.