Gnistan vs IFK Mariehamn Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gnistan v IFK Mariehamn — Team-Based Signals
Gnistan vs IFK Mariehamn Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Gnistan
FİN
0-0
HT 0-0
IFK Mariehamn
FİN
Gnistan 2-1 IFK Mariehamn — Actual Match Statistics
Gnistan edged past IFK Mariehamn 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Gnistan as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Gnistan had 57% of the ball to IFK Mariehamn's 43%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 1.27 to 0.35.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, IFK Mariehamn led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Gnistan and 1.00 for IFK Mariehamn.
What was the final score of Gnistan vs IFK Mariehamn?
Gnistan 2-1 IFK Mariehamn in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gnistan vs IFK Mariehamn?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gnistan win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gnistan 46%, draw 27%, IFK Mariehamn 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gnistan), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.