Gnistan 4-0 IFK Mariehamn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.58
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.05
6+ Goals
10%
10.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-11.4pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.8pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gnistan EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 23%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.26
+85% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
401 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gnistan
2W-3D-1L
AWAY IFK Mariehamn
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.12 xG 1.16
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
345 Passes 331
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
15.09.2024 Gnistan Gnistan 2-1 HT 1-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
21.08.2024 Gnistan Gnistan 2-1 HT 0-1 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
26.05.2024 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 1-1 HT 1-1 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
01.03.2024 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-0 HT 0-0 Gnistan Gnistan FLK
29.10.2023 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 3-0 HT 1-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
25.10.2023 Gnistan Gnistan 0-0 HT 0-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gnistan
4-0
AWAY IFK Mariehamn
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gnistan vs IFK Mariehamn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gnistan cruised past IFK Mariehamn 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gnistan as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Gnistan had 48% of the ball to IFK Mariehamn's 52%, shots finished 15-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gnistan had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gnistan and 1.00 for IFK Mariehamn.

What was the final score of Gnistan vs IFK Mariehamn?

Gnistan 4-0 IFK Mariehamn in the Finland - League Cup on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gnistan vs IFK Mariehamn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gnistan win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gnistan 45%, draw 30%, IFK Mariehamn 25%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gnistan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gnistan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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