HJK Helsinki 3-1 Haka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.47
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.23
Over 2.5
47%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.28
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
20%
2.76
6+ Goals
11%
7.74
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.28 — our 27% vs market 17.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
64%
-13.6pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.1pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+9.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Haka EU Bookmakers 19%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.02/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.59
+21% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
474 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HJK Helsinki
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Haka
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.52 xG 0.65
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
397 Passes 286
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
06.10.2024 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 0-1 HT 0-1 Haka Haka FİN
20.07.2024 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 2-0 HT 1-0 Haka Haka FİN
27.04.2024 Haka Haka 1-1 HT 1-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
27.06.2023 Haka Haka 1-1 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
29.04.2023 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 2-0 HT 2-0 Haka Haka FİN
09.10.2022 Haka Haka 0-1 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HJK Helsinki
3-1
AWAY Haka
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HJK Helsinki vs Haka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HJK Helsinki saw off Haka 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had HJK Helsinki as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, HJK Helsinki had 60% of the ball to Haka's 40%, shots finished 17-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HJK Helsinki had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for HJK Helsinki and 0.50 for Haka.

What was the final score of HJK Helsinki vs Haka?

HJK Helsinki 3-1 Haka in the Finland - League Cup on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HJK Helsinki vs Haka?

Before kick-off our model rated a HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split HJK Helsinki 50%, draw 25%, Haka 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HJK Helsinki) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (HJK Helsinki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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