HJK Helsinki 0-1 Haka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.51
Over 2.5
62%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.63
2-3 Goals
38%
2.02
4-5 Goals
28%
2.63
6+ Goals
13%
6.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.9
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.6
X/1
19%
4.04
X/2
9%
11.3
X/X
9%
6.95
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
19.3
2/2
11%
7.56
2/X
5%
15.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.3 — our 8% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-8.7pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.4pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+7.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.1pp
62%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.4pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Haka EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.87/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/2.44
+11% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
399 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
17.5 Crosses 15.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HJK Helsinki
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Haka
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.52 xG 0.71
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
382 Passes 309
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2024 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 2-0 HT 1-0 Haka Haka FİN
27.04.2024 Haka Haka 1-1 HT 1-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
27.06.2023 Haka Haka 1-1 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
29.04.2023 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 2-0 HT 2-0 Haka Haka FİN
09.10.2022 Haka Haka 0-1 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
21.08.2022 Haka Haka 0-3 HT 0-3 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HJK Helsinki
0-1
AWAY Haka
1.50 xG 0.40
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 3
454 Passes 195
85% Pass Accuracy 68%
41 Box Touches 16
35 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH HJK Helsinki vs Haka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haka edged past HJK Helsinki 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was HJK Helsinki at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HJK Helsinki had 66% of the ball to Haka's 34%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.50 to 0.40 — on chances, HJK Helsinki could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, HJK Helsinki had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for HJK Helsinki and 0.33 for Haka.

What was the final score of HJK Helsinki vs Haka?

HJK Helsinki 0-1 Haka in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HJK Helsinki vs Haka?

Before kick-off our model rated a HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split HJK Helsinki 52%, draw 22%, Haka 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (HJK Helsinki) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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