IFK Mariehamn 0-1 Inter Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.8
2-3 Goals
44%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.22
6+ Goals
8%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 26% vs market 21.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.73
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
11%
5.81
X/2
9%
5.59
X/X
11%
4.84
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
18%
3.54
2/X
9%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.8pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -16%
1.69/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.37
-12% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 75%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
18.0 Crosses 23.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Mariehamn
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Inter Turku
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.74 xG 2.36
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
252 Passes 396
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 27
10 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 3-0 HT 1-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
05.05.2024 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 3-1 HT 0-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
03.02.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 0-2 HT 0-1 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FLK
30.07.2023 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-2 HT 0-2 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
22.05.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-1 HT 0-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
04.02.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-0 HT 0-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Mariehamn
0-1
AWAY Inter Turku
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
318 Passes 373
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
POST-MATCH IFK Mariehamn vs Inter Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Turku squeezed past IFK Mariehamn 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Inter Turku found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, IFK Mariehamn had 47% of the ball to Inter Turku's 53%, shots finished 10-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Turku led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for IFK Mariehamn and 1.33 for Inter Turku.

What was the final score of IFK Mariehamn vs Inter Turku?

IFK Mariehamn 0-1 Inter Turku in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Mariehamn vs Inter Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Mariehamn win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split IFK Mariehamn 40%, draw 26%, Inter Turku 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (IFK Mariehamn)
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