KTP Kotka 0-2 KuPS Kuopio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.32
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
46%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.15
Over 2.5
41%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.61
No
54%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.19
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
21%
3.08
6+ Goals
8%
9.61
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.19 — our 31% vs market 19.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.72
1/2
12%
21.6
1/X
5%
14.1
X/1
7%
8.04
X/2
18%
4.66
X/X
18%
5.47
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
16%
2.48
2/X
6%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
27%
-2.3pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.6pp
46%
Away Win
49%
-3.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
43%
+16.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
57%
-16.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.5pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 54%
-10% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.08/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.96
-32% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -20%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 435 · 83%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
16.8 Crosses 20.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KTP Kotka
0W-2D-4L
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.59 xG 1.93
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
311 Passes 446
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 44
11 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.05.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-0 HT 2-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN
30.07.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-0 HT 1-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN
14.04.2023 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 0-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
18.09.2021 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 1-2 HT 1-2 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
15.08.2021 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 4-0 HT 2-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN
23.08.2015 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-1 HT 0-1 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KTP Kotka
0-2
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
0.84 xG 1.08
46% Ball Possession 54%
19 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
328 Passes 426
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
36 Box Touches 24
27 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH KTP Kotka vs KuPS Kuopio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Kuopio got the better of KTP Kotka 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had KuPS Kuopio as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, KTP Kotka had 46% of the ball to KuPS Kuopio's 54%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 0.84 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for KTP Kotka and 2.00 for KuPS Kuopio.

What was the final score of KTP Kotka vs KuPS Kuopio?

KTP Kotka 0-2 KuPS Kuopio in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KTP Kotka vs KuPS Kuopio?

Before kick-off our model rated an KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split KTP Kotka 24%, draw 30%, KuPS Kuopio 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KuPS Kuopio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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